McKenzie County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Watford City. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 9 and the first fall freeze around September 27, a growing season of about 139 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 19, first September 20
- Median at 32°F
- last May 9, first September 27
- Median at 28°F
- last April 30, first October 7
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 1 | May 27 | May 24 | May 22 | May 19 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 |
| 32°F | May 22 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 9 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 28 |
| 28°F | May 13 | May 8 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 |
| 24°F | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 |
| 20°F | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 25 |
| 16°F | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 13 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 8 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 18 | Sep 20 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 |
| 32°F | Sep 15 | Sep 20 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 |
| 28°F | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 |
| 24°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 20°F | Oct 10 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
| 16°F | Oct 18 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 140 | 133 | 129 | 126 | 122 | 118 | 114 | 109 | 103 |
| 32°F | 159 | 152 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 136 | 133 | 128 | 122 |
| 28°F | 180 | 173 | 168 | 163 | 160 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 139 |
| 24°F | 200 | 194 | 189 | 184 | 180 | 176 | 171 | 167 | 159 |
| 20°F | 219 | 212 | 206 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 189 | 184 | 177 |
| 16°F | 237 | 229 | 223 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 193 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,765
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 461
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,914
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,971
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,147
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,449
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 885
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,601 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,340 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,122 | 0 | 4 |
| April | 697 | 1 | 35 |
| May | 369 | 11 | 174 |
| June | 114 | 69 | 408 |
| July | 30 | 187 | 622 |
| August | 50 | 159 | 575 |
| September | 244 | 33 | 272 |
| October | 664 | 2 | 56 |
| November | 1,080 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,455 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.6 km from McKenzie County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00329233 (Watford City). Public domain.