Larimore Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Larimore 4SW. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 11 and the first fall freeze around September 28, a growing season of about 139 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 21, first September 19
- Median at 32°F
- last May 11, first September 28
- Median at 28°F
- last May 2, first October 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 4 | May 30 | May 26 | May 23 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 11 | May 7 |
| 32°F | May 25 | May 20 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 28 |
| 28°F | May 18 | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 |
| 24°F | May 8 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 |
| 20°F | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 |
| 16°F | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 23 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 5 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 |
| 32°F | Sep 16 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 |
| 28°F | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 |
| 24°F | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 |
| 20°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 |
| 16°F | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 137 | 132 | 128 | 124 | 120 | 117 | 113 | 108 | 101 |
| 32°F | 156 | 150 | 146 | 142 | 139 | 136 | 132 | 128 | 122 |
| 28°F | 176 | 170 | 165 | 160 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 145 | 138 |
| 24°F | 196 | 189 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 164 | 157 |
| 20°F | 213 | 207 | 203 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 176 |
| 16°F | 229 | 222 | 217 | 213 | 210 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 192 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 9,546
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 375
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,752
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,855
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,058
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,362
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 794
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,827 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,506 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,274 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 759 | 0 | 27 |
| May | 355 | 17 | 198 |
| June | 99 | 79 | 432 |
| July | 32 | 142 | 575 |
| August | 54 | 106 | 518 |
| September | 246 | 28 | 258 |
| October | 679 | 2 | 49 |
| November | 1,132 | 0 | 2 |
| December | 1,583 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.2 km from Larimore. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00325013 (Larimore 4SW). Public domain.