Cando Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Leeds. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 15 and the first fall freeze around September 27, a growing season of about 133 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 24, first September 18
- Median at 32°F
- last May 15, first September 27
- Median at 28°F
- last May 6, first October 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 26 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 |
| 32°F | May 27 | May 23 | May 20 | May 17 | May 15 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 |
| 28°F | May 19 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 21 |
| 24°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 |
| 20°F | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 |
| 16°F | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 4 | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 |
| 32°F | Sep 14 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 |
| 28°F | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 |
| 24°F | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 |
| 20°F | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 |
| 16°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 132 | 127 | 122 | 119 | 116 | 112 | 109 | 104 | 98 |
| 32°F | 150 | 144 | 139 | 136 | 133 | 129 | 125 | 120 | 114 |
| 28°F | 169 | 163 | 158 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 144 | 140 | 133 |
| 24°F | 190 | 183 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 166 | 161 | 157 | 150 |
| 20°F | 209 | 202 | 197 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 168 |
| 16°F | 224 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 192 | 186 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 9,843
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 307
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,551
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,671
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,890
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,220
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 685
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,812 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,529 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,307 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 779 | 0 | 23 |
| May | 388 | 10 | 168 |
| June | 112 | 64 | 404 |
| July | 42 | 123 | 546 |
| August | 69 | 89 | 486 |
| September | 275 | 20 | 226 |
| October | 723 | 0 | 36 |
| November | 1,183 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 1,624 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 27.5 km from Cando. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00325078 (Leeds). Public domain.