Spring Hope Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Louisburg. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 11 and the first fall freeze around October 29, a growing season of about 201 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 22, first October 20
- Median at 32°F
- last April 11, first October 29
- Median at 28°F
- last March 29, first November 6
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 10 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 8 |
| 32°F | Apr 28 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 |
| 28°F | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 11 |
| 24°F | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 |
| 20°F | Mar 23 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 |
| 16°F | Mar 11 | Mar 4 | Feb 25 | Feb 17 | Feb 9 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 | Jan 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
| 28°F | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 25 |
| 24°F | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 |
| 20°F | Nov 14 | Nov 21 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Dec 30 | Jan 7 |
| 16°F | Nov 29 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 11 | Jan 16 | Jan 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 200 | 193 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 176 | 172 | 166 | 159 |
| 32°F | 221 | 214 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 180 |
| 28°F | 248 | 239 | 232 | 228 | 223 | 219 | 215 | 210 | 202 |
| 24°F | 280 | 269 | 262 | 255 | 249 | 244 | 238 | 232 | 224 |
| 20°F | 315 | 304 | 297 | 288 | 282 | 274 | 266 | 258 | 249 |
| 16°F | 353 | 337 | 330 | 323 | 315 | 307 | 302 | 294 | 282 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 96% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,647
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,545
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,336
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,854
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,534
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,376
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,383
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 789 | 0 | 24 |
| February | 638 | 1 | 33 |
| March | 498 | 6 | 106 |
| April | 236 | 35 | 272 |
| May | 72 | 125 | 518 |
| June | 7 | 304 | 747 |
| July | 0 | 439 | 904 |
| August | 1 | 383 | 848 |
| September | 22 | 209 | 637 |
| October | 207 | 40 | 313 |
| November | 479 | 2 | 94 |
| December | 697 | 1 | 39 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 24.6 km from Spring Hope. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00315123 (Louisburg). Public domain.