Rockfish Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Raeford. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 3 and the first fall freeze around November 3, a growing season of about 214 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 16, first October 26
- Median at 32°F
- last April 3, first November 3
- Median at 28°F
- last March 22, first November 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 |
| 32°F | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 |
| 28°F | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 1 |
| 24°F | Mar 29 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 14 |
| 20°F | Mar 16 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 | Jan 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 4 | Feb 24 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 16 | Jan 3 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 |
| 32°F | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
| 28°F | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 | Dec 26 |
| 20°F | Nov 19 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 5 | Jan 14 |
| 16°F | Dec 4 | Dec 14 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 14 | Jan 21 | Feb 3 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 212 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 190 | 186 | 180 | 173 |
| 32°F | 235 | 227 | 223 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 196 |
| 28°F | 264 | 255 | 248 | 242 | 238 | 233 | 227 | 221 | 214 |
| 24°F | 297 | 283 | 275 | 268 | 262 | 257 | 252 | 245 | 237 |
| 20°F | 330 | 317 | 308 | 302 | 296 | 289 | 282 | 273 | 262 |
| 16°F | 365 | 354 | 342 | 334 | 330 | 323 | 313 | 305 | 294 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 89% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,280
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,648
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,731
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,194
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,813
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,592
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,537
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 736 | 1 | 36 |
| February | 597 | 1 | 39 |
| March | 433 | 8 | 141 |
| April | 194 | 44 | 314 |
| May | 53 | 146 | 558 |
| June | 3 | 327 | 774 |
| July | 0 | 445 | 910 |
| August | 0 | 397 | 862 |
| September | 14 | 226 | 661 |
| October | 174 | 48 | 349 |
| November | 435 | 5 | 120 |
| December | 642 | 1 | 50 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.9 km from Rockfish. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00317056 (Raeford). Public domain.