River Bend Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Perrytown. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 20 and the first fall freeze around November 20, a growing season of about 246 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 1, first November 7
- Median at 32°F
- last March 20, first November 20
- Median at 28°F
- last March 4, first December 6
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 |
| 32°F | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Feb 28 |
| 28°F | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 6 |
| 24°F | Mar 11 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 15 |
| 20°F | Feb 27 | Feb 18 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Dec 31 |
| 16°F | Feb 15 | Feb 2 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 19 | Jan 16 | Jan 10 | Jan 5 | Dec 30 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 32°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 13 |
| 28°F | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 | Dec 22 | Dec 31 | Jan 7 |
| 24°F | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Jan 16 | Jan 26 |
| 20°F | Dec 13 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 9 | Jan 14 | Jan 18 | Jan 25 | Feb 4 |
| 16°F | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 9 | Jan 15 | Jan 18 | Jan 23 | Jan 29 | Feb 6 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 244 | 237 | 231 | 226 | 222 | 218 | 213 | 208 | 201 |
| 32°F | 273 | 264 | 257 | 251 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 230 | 222 |
| 28°F | 310 | 299 | 292 | 287 | 280 | 274 | 268 | 260 | 251 |
| 24°F | 347 | 334 | 326 | 317 | 312 | 305 | 299 | 293 | 281 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 363 | 352 | 344 | 334 | 327 | 317 | 304 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 | 347 | 333 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 96% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 73% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 35% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,560
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,851
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,527
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,873
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,364
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,019
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,845
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 601 | 1 | 70 |
| February | 483 | 4 | 84 |
| March | 370 | 14 | 172 |
| April | 144 | 57 | 370 |
| May | 34 | 167 | 598 |
| June | 1 | 348 | 796 |
| July | 0 | 465 | 930 |
| August | 0 | 420 | 885 |
| September | 5 | 272 | 717 |
| October | 104 | 84 | 447 |
| November | 310 | 14 | 194 |
| December | 508 | 4 | 101 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.8 km from River Bend. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00316676 (Perrytown). Public domain.