Red Oak Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Rocky Mt Wilson AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 1 and the first fall freeze around November 5, a growing season of about 219 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 13, first October 28
- Median at 32°F
- last April 1, first November 5
- Median at 28°F
- last March 21, first November 16
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 1 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 32°F | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 |
| 28°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 1 |
| 24°F | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 10 |
| 20°F | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 21 |
| 16°F | Mar 1 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 20 | Jan 13 | Jan 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 |
| 32°F | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 |
| 28°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 |
| 24°F | Nov 11 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 20 | Jan 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 11 | Jan 22 |
| 16°F | Dec 10 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 14 | Jan 18 | Jan 27 | Feb 11 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 217 | 210 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 183 | 176 |
| 32°F | 240 | 233 | 228 | 223 | 219 | 216 | 211 | 206 | 200 |
| 28°F | 268 | 259 | 252 | 247 | 241 | 237 | 232 | 226 | 219 |
| 24°F | 303 | 292 | 284 | 276 | 270 | 264 | 258 | 251 | 242 |
| 20°F | 339 | 327 | 318 | 311 | 306 | 299 | 290 | 282 | 271 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 354 | 346 | 338 | 333 | 325 | 315 | 305 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 82% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,271
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,681
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,783
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,246
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,867
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,647
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,584
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 735 | 0 | 38 |
| February | 591 | 2 | 48 |
| March | 444 | 8 | 135 |
| April | 195 | 45 | 316 |
| May | 51 | 149 | 563 |
| June | 2 | 327 | 775 |
| July | 0 | 457 | 922 |
| August | 0 | 403 | 868 |
| September | 13 | 229 | 666 |
| October | 163 | 54 | 365 |
| November | 428 | 5 | 119 |
| December | 649 | 2 | 54 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20.5 km from Red Oak. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00093759 (Rocky Mt Wilson AP). Public domain.