Pembroke Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lumberton Muni AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 24 and the first fall freeze around November 10, a growing season of about 233 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 5, first November 1
- Median at 32°F
- last March 24, first November 10
- Median at 28°F
- last March 6, first November 25
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 18 |
| 32°F | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Feb 28 |
| 28°F | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 7 |
| 24°F | Mar 16 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 18 |
| 20°F | Feb 27 | Feb 13 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 21 | Jan 16 | Jan 7 | Dec 28 |
| 16°F | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 17 | Jan 12 | Jan 7 | Dec 31 | Dec 21 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 15 |
| 32°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 |
| 28°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 22 |
| 24°F | Nov 19 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 29 | Jan 4 | Jan 16 |
| 20°F | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 12 | Jan 18 | Jan 31 |
| 16°F | Dec 11 | Dec 21 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 14 | Jan 18 | Jan 26 | Feb 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 231 | 223 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 196 | 190 |
| 32°F | 261 | 251 | 244 | 239 | 233 | 228 | 223 | 217 | 208 |
| 28°F | 298 | 284 | 276 | 267 | 261 | 256 | 249 | 243 | 232 |
| 24°F | 338 | 325 | 316 | 307 | 299 | 290 | 282 | 273 | 261 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 354 | 344 | 336 | 330 | 321 | 312 | 300 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 350 | 341 | 330 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 84% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 46% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,609
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,087
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,727
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,089
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,600
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,264
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,091
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 623 | 2 | 66 |
| February | 481 | 5 | 82 |
| March | 342 | 15 | 196 |
| April | 136 | 67 | 387 |
| May | 25 | 211 | 651 |
| June | 0 | 413 | 862 |
| July | 0 | 516 | 981 |
| August | 0 | 465 | 930 |
| September | 7 | 292 | 735 |
| October | 110 | 85 | 444 |
| November | 339 | 14 | 177 |
| December | 546 | 4 | 89 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14.8 km from Pembroke. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00013776 (Lumberton Muni AP). Public domain.