Ossipee Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Burlington Fire Stn #5. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 29 and the first fall freeze around November 9, a growing season of about 226 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 10, first October 30
- Median at 32°F
- last March 29, first November 9
- Median at 28°F
- last March 15, first November 23
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 2 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 |
| 32°F | Apr 15 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 8 |
| 28°F | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 |
| 24°F | Mar 22 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 11 | Feb 2 |
| 20°F | Mar 9 | Mar 2 | Feb 23 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 20 | Jan 10 |
| 16°F | Mar 2 | Feb 13 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 20 | Jan 15 | Jan 9 | Dec 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 |
| 32°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 |
| 28°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 14 |
| 24°F | Nov 20 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 31 | Jan 7 |
| 20°F | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 12 | Jan 17 | Jan 29 |
| 16°F | Dec 20 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 16 | Jan 20 | Jan 28 | Feb 8 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 224 | 217 | 212 | 208 | 203 | 198 | 193 | 186 | 179 |
| 32°F | 253 | 243 | 237 | 232 | 226 | 222 | 217 | 211 | 200 |
| 28°F | 284 | 273 | 266 | 260 | 255 | 249 | 243 | 235 | 225 |
| 24°F | 319 | 308 | 299 | 294 | 288 | 280 | 273 | 266 | 255 |
| 20°F | 357 | 343 | 333 | 325 | 318 | 311 | 305 | 299 | 288 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 350 | 341 | 333 | 323 | 308 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 95% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 65% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,287
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,655
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,715
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,173
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,793
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,581
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,536
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 743 | 0 | 26 |
| February | 590 | 1 | 37 |
| March | 444 | 7 | 130 |
| April | 198 | 40 | 309 |
| May | 52 | 150 | 564 |
| June | 4 | 331 | 777 |
| July | 0 | 451 | 916 |
| August | 0 | 408 | 873 |
| September | 15 | 218 | 652 |
| October | 165 | 44 | 351 |
| November | 426 | 4 | 117 |
| December | 651 | 1 | 42 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.7 km from Ossipee. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00311239 (Burlington Fire Stn #5). Public domain.