New Bern Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for New Bern Craven CO AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 23 and the first fall freeze around November 15, a growing season of about 237 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 4, first November 3
- Median at 32°F
- last March 23, first November 15
- Median at 28°F
- last March 12, first November 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 |
| 32°F | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 |
| 28°F | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 |
| 24°F | Mar 17 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 | Feb 5 | Jan 29 |
| 20°F | Mar 4 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 9 | Feb 2 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 15 | Jan 5 |
| 16°F | Feb 18 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 17 | Jan 13 | Jan 6 | Dec 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 |
| 32°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 |
| 28°F | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 21 |
| 24°F | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 |
| 20°F | Dec 5 | Dec 13 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 17 | Jan 29 |
| 16°F | Dec 23 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 16 | Jan 22 | Jan 28 | Feb 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 236 | 228 | 223 | 218 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 196 |
| 32°F | 263 | 253 | 247 | 241 | 237 | 233 | 228 | 222 | 216 |
| 28°F | 295 | 283 | 275 | 268 | 262 | 258 | 253 | 246 | 238 |
| 24°F | 330 | 318 | 309 | 302 | 295 | 290 | 283 | 274 | 265 |
| 20°F | 365 | 353 | 343 | 334 | 328 | 320 | 312 | 305 | 294 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 352 | 343 | 334 | 321 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 90% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 56% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,698
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,897
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,461
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,831
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,349
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,029
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,878
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 639 | 2 | 59 |
| February | 504 | 4 | 71 |
| March | 379 | 13 | 171 |
| April | 154 | 56 | 360 |
| May | 33 | 175 | 606 |
| June | 1 | 359 | 808 |
| July | 0 | 477 | 942 |
| August | 0 | 432 | 897 |
| September | 5 | 280 | 724 |
| October | 108 | 83 | 443 |
| November | 335 | 11 | 176 |
| December | 541 | 5 | 90 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.6 km from New Bern. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00093719 (New Bern Craven CO AP). Public domain.