Marshall Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Marshall. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 28 and the first fall freeze around October 18, a growing season of about 173 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 7, first October 9
- Median at 32°F
- last April 28, first October 18
- Median at 28°F
- last April 14, first October 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 23 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 24 |
| 32°F | May 13 | May 9 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 |
| 28°F | May 2 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 |
| 24°F | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 13 |
| 20°F | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 25 |
| 16°F | Mar 28 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 |
| 32°F | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 |
| 24°F | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 |
| 16°F | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 18 | Dec 28 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 173 | 166 | 162 | 157 | 154 | 150 | 146 | 141 | 135 |
| 32°F | 193 | 186 | 181 | 176 | 173 | 169 | 164 | 159 | 154 |
| 28°F | 214 | 207 | 202 | 197 | 194 | 189 | 184 | 178 | 172 |
| 24°F | 240 | 232 | 225 | 220 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 203 | 195 |
| 20°F | 271 | 260 | 252 | 246 | 242 | 237 | 232 | 226 | 216 |
| 16°F | 308 | 295 | 287 | 281 | 275 | 268 | 261 | 252 | 243 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,635
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 786
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,896
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,540
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,358
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,345
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,485
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 930 | 0 | 7 |
| February | 750 | 0 | 11 |
| March | 622 | 0 | 54 |
| April | 349 | 6 | 167 |
| May | 139 | 43 | 376 |
| June | 19 | 151 | 582 |
| July | 1 | 252 | 716 |
| August | 2 | 226 | 688 |
| September | 53 | 97 | 494 |
| October | 309 | 11 | 208 |
| November | 616 | 1 | 43 |
| December | 845 | 0 | 13 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.8 km from Marshall. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00315356 (Marshall). Public domain.