Hatteras Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Cape Hatteras AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 4 and the first fall freeze around December 22, a growing season of about 290 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 19, first December 2
- Median at 32°F
- last March 4, first December 22
- Median at 28°F
- last February 12, first January 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
| 32°F | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 | Feb 4 |
| 28°F | Mar 11 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 17 |
| 24°F | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 10 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 16 | Jan 10 |
| 20°F | Feb 15 | Feb 8 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 28 | Jan 23 | Jan 18 | Jan 15 | Jan 11 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 27 |
| 32°F | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 16 |
| 28°F | Dec 17 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 8 | Jan 13 | Jan 18 | Jan 28 | Feb 5 |
| 24°F | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 14 | Jan 18 | Jan 22 | Jan 29 | Feb 2 | Feb 15 |
| 20°F | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 14 | Jan 18 | Jan 23 | Jan 27 | Jan 31 | Feb 4 | Feb 11 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 286 | 278 | 271 | 265 | 260 | 256 | 249 | 243 | 235 |
| 32°F | 318 | 308 | 302 | 296 | 290 | 284 | 278 | 272 | 262 |
| 28°F | 360 | 344 | 334 | 327 | 320 | 312 | 306 | 299 | 289 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 351 | 341 | 334 | 325 | 312 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 354 | 335 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 92% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 62% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 25% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 8% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,168
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,127
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,141
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,425
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,830
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,402
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,169
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 528 | 1 | 84 |
| February | 447 | 1 | 80 |
| March | 354 | 7 | 168 |
| April | 143 | 45 | 357 |
| May | 26 | 172 | 611 |
| June | 1 | 375 | 823 |
| July | 0 | 505 | 970 |
| August | 0 | 487 | 952 |
| September | 1 | 358 | 807 |
| October | 46 | 144 | 563 |
| November | 216 | 26 | 275 |
| December | 406 | 6 | 142 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.4 km from Hatteras. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00093729 (Cape Hatteras AP). Public domain.