Harmony Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Statesville 2 Nne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 16 and the first fall freeze around October 25, a growing season of about 191 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 28, first October 17
- Median at 32°F
- last April 16, first October 25
- Median at 28°F
- last April 3, first November 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 12 |
| 32°F | May 1 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 |
| 28°F | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 |
| 24°F | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Feb 28 |
| 20°F | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 12 |
| 16°F | Mar 15 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
| 32°F | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 |
| 28°F | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 | Dec 23 |
| 16°F | Nov 23 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 13 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 190 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 157 | 149 |
| 32°F | 211 | 205 | 199 | 195 | 191 | 188 | 184 | 179 | 173 |
| 28°F | 234 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 207 | 202 | 196 |
| 24°F | 264 | 256 | 250 | 244 | 238 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 216 |
| 20°F | 298 | 287 | 279 | 273 | 266 | 261 | 256 | 249 | 240 |
| 16°F | 335 | 323 | 314 | 306 | 300 | 293 | 286 | 278 | 267 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 99% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,994
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,257
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,795
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,369
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,103
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,000
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,049
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 850 | 0 | 13 |
| February | 682 | 0 | 20 |
| March | 541 | 1 | 82 |
| April | 263 | 20 | 240 |
| May | 83 | 99 | 482 |
| June | 7 | 256 | 699 |
| July | 0 | 374 | 839 |
| August | 1 | 322 | 786 |
| September | 31 | 158 | 578 |
| October | 232 | 25 | 276 |
| November | 537 | 2 | 68 |
| December | 768 | 1 | 22 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 19 km from Harmony. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00318292 (Statesville 2 Nne). Public domain.