Half Moon Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Jacksonville Eoc. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 31 and the first fall freeze around November 8, a growing season of about 224 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 9, first October 31
- Median at 32°F
- last March 31, first November 8
- Median at 28°F
- last March 18, first November 21
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 |
| 32°F | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 |
| 28°F | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 25 |
| 24°F | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 13 | Feb 3 |
| 20°F | Mar 8 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 20 | Jan 10 |
| 16°F | Feb 21 | Feb 8 | Feb 1 | Jan 30 | Jan 26 | Jan 20 | Jan 15 | Jan 10 | Jan 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 |
| 32°F | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 |
| 28°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 13 |
| 24°F | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 21 | Dec 30 | Jan 8 |
| 20°F | Nov 30 | Dec 8 | Dec 16 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 11 | Jan 18 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | Dec 18 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 14 | Jan 19 | Jan 26 | Feb 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 223 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 204 | 201 | 197 | 194 | 187 |
| 32°F | 248 | 240 | 235 | 230 | 224 | 220 | 216 | 211 | 205 |
| 28°F | 281 | 270 | 262 | 256 | 250 | 244 | 239 | 233 | 224 |
| 24°F | 317 | 305 | 297 | 289 | 282 | 276 | 269 | 261 | 250 |
| 20°F | 353 | 341 | 333 | 326 | 316 | 309 | 303 | 296 | 285 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 349 | 342 | 335 | 329 | 313 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 94% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 68% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,767
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,880
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,399
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,785
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,312
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,004
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,859
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 644 | 1 | 62 |
| February | 518 | 2 | 71 |
| March | 396 | 13 | 163 |
| April | 158 | 58 | 360 |
| May | 32 | 173 | 606 |
| June | 1 | 358 | 807 |
| July | 0 | 482 | 947 |
| August | 0 | 432 | 897 |
| September | 6 | 271 | 715 |
| October | 123 | 75 | 422 |
| November | 346 | 12 | 171 |
| December | 544 | 4 | 91 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.2 km from Half Moon. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00314471 (Jacksonville Eoc). Public domain.