Brevard Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Brevard. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 21 and the first fall freeze around October 23, a growing season of about 185 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 2, first October 14
- Median at 32°F
- last April 21, first October 23
- Median at 28°F
- last April 4, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 16 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 |
| 32°F | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 4 |
| 28°F | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
| 24°F | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 | Mar 1 |
| 20°F | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 13 |
| 16°F | Mar 17 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 2 | Jan 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 |
| 32°F | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 |
| 28°F | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 |
| 24°F | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 30 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 17 |
| 16°F | Nov 18 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 183 | 176 | 171 | 166 | 162 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 144 |
| 32°F | 207 | 199 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 176 | 171 | 163 |
| 28°F | 232 | 224 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 196 | 188 |
| 24°F | 259 | 250 | 246 | 240 | 236 | 231 | 225 | 221 | 213 |
| 20°F | 292 | 281 | 273 | 265 | 260 | 255 | 250 | 244 | 236 |
| 16°F | 328 | 316 | 308 | 301 | 294 | 287 | 280 | 271 | 261 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,302
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 740
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,009
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,604
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,378
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,331
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,451
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 868 | 0 | 10 |
| February | 701 | 0 | 14 |
| March | 575 | 0 | 60 |
| April | 309 | 8 | 185 |
| May | 122 | 46 | 392 |
| June | 15 | 148 | 583 |
| July | 2 | 234 | 697 |
| August | 2 | 210 | 673 |
| September | 52 | 84 | 482 |
| October | 280 | 10 | 222 |
| November | 581 | 0 | 44 |
| December | 795 | 0 | 16 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.5 km from Brevard. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00311055 (Brevard). Public domain.