Aurora Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Aurora 6 N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 8 and the first fall freeze around December 5, a growing season of about 272 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 23, first November 23
- Median at 32°F
- last March 8, first December 5
- Median at 28°F
- last February 19, first December 25
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 3 |
| 32°F | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 12 |
| 28°F | Mar 15 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 26 |
| 24°F | Feb 28 | Feb 20 | Feb 10 | Feb 5 | Feb 1 | Jan 29 | Jan 23 | Jan 16 | Jan 9 |
| 20°F | Feb 13 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 28 | Jan 23 | Jan 19 | Jan 15 | Jan 10 | Jan 3 |
| 16°F | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 30 | Jan 27 | Jan 22 | Jan 17 | Jan 15 | Jan 12 | Jan 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 |
| 32°F | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 30 |
| 28°F | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 18 |
| 24°F | Dec 13 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 11 | Jan 16 | Jan 21 | Jan 31 |
| 20°F | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 14 | Jan 17 | Jan 21 | Jan 27 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 13 | Jan 15 | Jan 18 | Jan 22 | Jan 26 | Jan 31 | Feb 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 269 | 261 | 255 | 249 | 245 | 239 | 234 | 228 | 218 |
| 32°F | 301 | 292 | 284 | 278 | 272 | 266 | 260 | 252 | 244 |
| 28°F | 334 | 324 | 314 | 307 | 303 | 297 | 290 | 283 | 274 |
| 24°F | 365 | 355 | 345 | 338 | 332 | 325 | 317 | 309 | 301 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 350 | 342 | 334 | 324 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 | 339 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 89% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 58% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 23% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,596
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,026
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,684
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,041
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,534
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,193
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,022
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 627 | 1 | 57 |
| February | 507 | 2 | 64 |
| March | 377 | 12 | 169 |
| April | 143 | 60 | 375 |
| May | 29 | 190 | 626 |
| June | 2 | 384 | 832 |
| July | 0 | 507 | 972 |
| August | 0 | 460 | 925 |
| September | 4 | 302 | 748 |
| October | 85 | 91 | 473 |
| November | 295 | 14 | 206 |
| December | 528 | 3 | 86 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.1 km from Aurora. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00310375 (Aurora 6 N). Public domain.