Worcester Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Cooperstown. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 7 and the first fall freeze around October 7, a growing season of about 154 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 20, first September 30
- Median at 32°F
- last May 7, first October 7
- Median at 28°F
- last April 25, first October 21
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 3 | May 30 | May 27 | May 24 | May 20 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 1 |
| 32°F | May 26 | May 20 | May 16 | May 12 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 |
| 28°F | May 12 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 |
| 24°F | Apr 27 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 20°F | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 |
| 16°F | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 16 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 13 |
| 32°F | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 24 |
| 28°F | Oct 3 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 |
| 24°F | Oct 14 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 |
| 16°F | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 152 | 145 | 140 | 136 | 131 | 127 | 122 | 118 | 112 |
| 32°F | 175 | 168 | 163 | 158 | 154 | 149 | 144 | 138 | 131 |
| 28°F | 200 | 192 | 187 | 183 | 178 | 174 | 169 | 163 | 154 |
| 24°F | 227 | 220 | 214 | 210 | 205 | 201 | 196 | 190 | 181 |
| 20°F | 248 | 242 | 236 | 231 | 227 | 223 | 219 | 213 | 206 |
| 16°F | 267 | 259 | 253 | 249 | 245 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 224 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,232
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 188
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,514
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,554
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,736
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,053
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 524
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,443 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,256 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,136 | 0 | 3 |
| April | 719 | 1 | 28 |
| May | 391 | 8 | 151 |
| June | 147 | 36 | 343 |
| July | 53 | 78 | 490 |
| August | 81 | 53 | 437 |
| September | 253 | 13 | 230 |
| October | 602 | 0 | 49 |
| November | 912 | 0 | 5 |
| December | 1,240 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20 km from Worcester. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00301752 (Cooperstown). Public domain.