Williamsburg Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for New York Cntrl Pk Twr. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 30 and the first fall freeze around November 20, a growing season of about 236 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 7, first November 8
- Median at 32°F
- last March 30, first November 20
- Median at 28°F
- last March 19, first December 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 |
| 32°F | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 |
| 28°F | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 |
| 24°F | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 |
| 20°F | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 |
| 16°F | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 19 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 |
| 32°F | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 28°F | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 |
| 24°F | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 12 | Dec 16 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 |
| 20°F | Dec 5 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 22 | Dec 26 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 15 |
| 16°F | Dec 16 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 5 | Jan 8 | Jan 14 | Jan 20 | Jan 29 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 234 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 196 |
| 32°F | 257 | 250 | 244 | 240 | 236 | 232 | 228 | 223 | 217 |
| 28°F | 279 | 271 | 265 | 261 | 257 | 253 | 247 | 241 | 236 |
| 24°F | 298 | 291 | 286 | 282 | 277 | 272 | 267 | 262 | 255 |
| 20°F | 322 | 313 | 306 | 301 | 298 | 294 | 289 | 283 | 276 |
| 16°F | 347 | 335 | 328 | 324 | 318 | 312 | 306 | 301 | 294 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 96% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,553
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,222
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,423
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,062
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,867
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,829
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,948
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 970 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 816 | 0 | 6 |
| March | 688 | 1 | 34 |
| April | 354 | 14 | 162 |
| May | 122 | 66 | 410 |
| June | 15 | 226 | 661 |
| July | 0 | 388 | 852 |
| August | 1 | 345 | 809 |
| September | 32 | 159 | 578 |
| October | 240 | 22 | 263 |
| November | 511 | 1 | 72 |
| December | 804 | 0 | 15 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.3 km from Williamsburg. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00094728 (New York Cntrl Pk Twr). Public domain.