Wawarsing Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mohonk Lake. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 21 and the first fall freeze around October 27, a growing season of about 188 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 1, first October 15
- Median at 32°F
- last April 21, first October 27
- Median at 28°F
- last April 8, first November 6
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 15 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 |
| 32°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 6 |
| 28°F | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 |
| 24°F | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 |
| 20°F | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 |
| 16°F | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 28°F | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 |
| 24°F | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 |
| 16°F | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 185 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 152 | 146 |
| 32°F | 207 | 201 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 168 |
| 28°F | 229 | 223 | 218 | 214 | 211 | 207 | 203 | 197 | 189 |
| 24°F | 252 | 245 | 240 | 236 | 232 | 228 | 224 | 219 | 212 |
| 20°F | 271 | 264 | 259 | 254 | 250 | 246 | 242 | 238 | 230 |
| 16°F | 291 | 283 | 278 | 273 | 268 | 263 | 258 | 253 | 245 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,039
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 737
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,160
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,000
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,972
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,082
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,337
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,200 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,014 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 879 | 0 | 15 |
| April | 482 | 8 | 101 |
| May | 196 | 43 | 321 |
| June | 38 | 143 | 555 |
| July | 3 | 255 | 718 |
| August | 9 | 208 | 663 |
| September | 102 | 73 | 423 |
| October | 384 | 6 | 148 |
| November | 701 | 0 | 24 |
| December | 1,031 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 16.8 km from Wawarsing. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00305426 (Mohonk Lake). Public domain.