Waterloo Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Geneva Rsch Farm. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 21, a growing season of about 173 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 10, first October 7
- Median at 32°F
- last April 30, first October 21
- Median at 28°F
- last April 17, first November 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 23 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 |
| 32°F | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 |
| 28°F | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 |
| 24°F | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 |
| 20°F | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 |
| 16°F | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 |
| 32°F | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 |
| 28°F | Oct 18 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 |
| 20°F | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 |
| 16°F | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 169 | 162 | 157 | 154 | 150 | 146 | 142 | 138 | 131 |
| 32°F | 193 | 187 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 164 | 160 | 153 |
| 28°F | 217 | 211 | 206 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 177 |
| 24°F | 240 | 234 | 229 | 225 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 205 |
| 20°F | 263 | 255 | 249 | 246 | 242 | 238 | 234 | 229 | 223 |
| 16°F | 281 | 274 | 268 | 263 | 260 | 256 | 250 | 245 | 238 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,006
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 475
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,405
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,343
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,419
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,630
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 975
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,299 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,135 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,025 | 0 | 8 |
| April | 625 | 3 | 52 |
| May | 290 | 27 | 236 |
| June | 77 | 94 | 468 |
| July | 16 | 171 | 620 |
| August | 27 | 133 | 570 |
| September | 155 | 45 | 346 |
| October | 471 | 3 | 102 |
| November | 782 | 0 | 15 |
| December | 1,104 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14 km from Waterloo. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00303184 (Geneva Rsch Farm). Public domain.