Schaghticoke Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Buskirk. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 6 and the first fall freeze around October 6, a growing season of about 154 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 17, first September 26
- Median at 32°F
- last May 6, first October 6
- Median at 28°F
- last April 25, first October 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 1 | May 27 | May 24 | May 20 | May 17 | May 14 | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 |
| 32°F | May 21 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 |
| 28°F | May 9 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 |
| 24°F | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 |
| 20°F | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 |
| 16°F | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 |
| 32°F | Sep 22 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 24 |
| 28°F | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 |
| 24°F | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
| 20°F | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 16°F | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 149 | 143 | 138 | 134 | 130 | 126 | 121 | 116 | 109 |
| 32°F | 174 | 167 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 149 | 145 | 140 | 132 |
| 28°F | 201 | 194 | 189 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 170 | 164 | 156 |
| 24°F | 225 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 185 |
| 20°F | 248 | 241 | 235 | 230 | 226 | 223 | 219 | 215 | 208 |
| 16°F | 267 | 261 | 256 | 251 | 247 | 242 | 239 | 234 | 228 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,031
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 457
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,406
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,340
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,411
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,617
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 959
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,326 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,158 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,013 | 0 | 8 |
| April | 576 | 3 | 56 |
| May | 265 | 20 | 245 |
| June | 67 | 87 | 471 |
| July | 12 | 174 | 628 |
| August | 26 | 123 | 563 |
| September | 170 | 47 | 333 |
| October | 482 | 4 | 95 |
| November | 807 | 0 | 14 |
| December | 1,128 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.1 km from Schaghticoke. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00301068 (Buskirk). Public domain.