Rush Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Avon. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 3 and the first fall freeze around October 15, a growing season of about 163 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 13, first October 1
- Median at 32°F
- last May 3, first October 15
- Median at 28°F
- last April 21, first October 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 25 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 |
| 32°F | May 15 | May 11 | May 7 | May 5 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 |
| 28°F | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
| 24°F | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 |
| 20°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 |
| 16°F | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 17 |
| 32°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 11 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 24°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 159 | 153 | 149 | 145 | 142 | 137 | 134 | 129 | 123 |
| 32°F | 182 | 176 | 171 | 166 | 163 | 159 | 154 | 150 | 144 |
| 28°F | 209 | 202 | 197 | 192 | 188 | 185 | 180 | 174 | 166 |
| 24°F | 233 | 226 | 221 | 217 | 214 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 194 |
| 20°F | 255 | 247 | 243 | 239 | 235 | 231 | 227 | 223 | 217 |
| 16°F | 277 | 268 | 263 | 258 | 254 | 250 | 246 | 241 | 235 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,744
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 538
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,592
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,503
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,554
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,744
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,063
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,259 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,107 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 989 | 0 | 10 |
| April | 604 | 2 | 59 |
| May | 272 | 33 | 255 |
| June | 65 | 110 | 496 |
| July | 13 | 190 | 642 |
| August | 24 | 145 | 586 |
| September | 142 | 54 | 367 |
| October | 447 | 5 | 117 |
| November | 752 | 0 | 21 |
| December | 1,071 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.3 km from Rush. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00300343 (Avon). Public domain.