Roscoe Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Callicoon Ctr. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 12 and the first fall freeze around October 7, a growing season of about 146 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 24, first September 27
- Median at 32°F
- last May 12, first October 7
- Median at 28°F
- last April 29, first October 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 5 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 27 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 14 | May 8 |
| 32°F | May 28 | May 23 | May 19 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 28°F | May 17 | May 11 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 10 |
| 24°F | May 2 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 |
| 20°F | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 |
| 16°F | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 13 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 |
| 32°F | Sep 25 | Sep 30 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 |
| 28°F | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 24°F | Oct 18 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 20°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 |
| 16°F | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 145 | 138 | 132 | 128 | 125 | 121 | 116 | 112 | 105 |
| 32°F | 167 | 160 | 155 | 150 | 146 | 142 | 137 | 133 | 126 |
| 28°F | 195 | 188 | 182 | 177 | 173 | 168 | 163 | 157 | 149 |
| 24°F | 221 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 193 | 187 | 179 |
| 20°F | 244 | 236 | 232 | 227 | 224 | 220 | 216 | 212 | 206 |
| 16°F | 265 | 257 | 251 | 246 | 243 | 238 | 234 | 230 | 224 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,387
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 307
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,020
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,996
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,103
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,346
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 740
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,337 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,176 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,046 | 0 | 7 |
| April | 615 | 2 | 48 |
| May | 328 | 9 | 192 |
| June | 106 | 51 | 397 |
| July | 20 | 128 | 573 |
| August | 46 | 83 | 502 |
| September | 194 | 33 | 297 |
| October | 522 | 2 | 78 |
| November | 837 | 0 | 8 |
| December | 1,159 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.1 km from Roscoe. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00301102 (Callicoon Ctr). Public domain.