Olean Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Olean. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 7 and the first fall freeze around October 11, a growing season of about 156 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 20, first October 1
- Median at 32°F
- last May 7, first October 11
- Median at 28°F
- last April 26, first October 24
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 17 | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 |
| 32°F | May 22 | May 18 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 |
| 28°F | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
| 24°F | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 |
| 20°F | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 |
| 16°F | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 |
| 32°F | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 |
| 28°F | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 |
| 24°F | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 |
| 20°F | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 16°F | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 152 | 145 | 140 | 135 | 131 | 128 | 124 | 119 | 112 |
| 32°F | 175 | 167 | 163 | 159 | 156 | 152 | 147 | 142 | 136 |
| 28°F | 199 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 180 | 175 | 171 | 165 | 158 |
| 24°F | 222 | 216 | 211 | 207 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 190 | 183 |
| 20°F | 246 | 238 | 234 | 229 | 226 | 221 | 217 | 212 | 205 |
| 16°F | 268 | 259 | 254 | 249 | 245 | 240 | 236 | 231 | 224 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,122
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 356
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,238
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,184
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,261
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,469
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 822
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,320 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,131 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 1,020 | 0 | 10 |
| April | 617 | 1 | 49 |
| May | 296 | 17 | 227 |
| June | 83 | 60 | 429 |
| July | 22 | 135 | 578 |
| August | 37 | 99 | 527 |
| September | 168 | 42 | 330 |
| October | 496 | 3 | 96 |
| November | 813 | 0 | 13 |
| December | 1,119 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.9 km from Olean. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00306196 (Olean). Public domain.