Marathon Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Whitney Pt Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 4 and the first fall freeze around October 16, a growing season of about 163 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 17, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last May 4, first October 16
- Median at 28°F
- last April 23, first October 31
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 1 | May 27 | May 24 | May 20 | May 17 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 2 |
| 32°F | May 20 | May 15 | May 10 | May 6 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 |
| 28°F | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 24°F | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 |
| 20°F | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
| 16°F | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 19 |
| 32°F | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 2 |
| 28°F | Oct 11 | Oct 18 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 24°F | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 27 |
| 20°F | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 |
| 16°F | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 157 | 152 | 147 | 143 | 138 | 133 | 128 | 124 | 118 |
| 32°F | 185 | 178 | 172 | 167 | 163 | 159 | 154 | 148 | 140 |
| 28°F | 209 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 180 | 173 | 165 |
| 24°F | 236 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 203 | 195 |
| 20°F | 256 | 249 | 244 | 240 | 236 | 232 | 228 | 224 | 218 |
| 16°F | 274 | 267 | 261 | 257 | 253 | 249 | 245 | 241 | 234 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,000
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 386
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,275
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,216
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,290
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,500
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 857
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,277 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,142 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,026 | 0 | 9 |
| April | 616 | 1 | 42 |
| May | 297 | 15 | 218 |
| June | 82 | 59 | 428 |
| July | 15 | 151 | 601 |
| August | 28 | 115 | 552 |
| September | 168 | 43 | 329 |
| October | 469 | 3 | 98 |
| November | 777 | 0 | 12 |
| December | 1,104 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.4 km from Marathon. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00309442 (Whitney Pt Dam). Public domain.