Lindley Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Cowanesque Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 9 and the first fall freeze around October 12, a growing season of about 155 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 21, first October 1
- Median at 32°F
- last May 9, first October 12
- Median at 28°F
- last April 29, first October 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 9 | May 4 |
| 32°F | May 25 | May 20 | May 16 | May 12 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 |
| 28°F | May 14 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 |
| 24°F | May 2 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 |
| 20°F | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 |
| 16°F | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 |
| 32°F | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 |
| 28°F | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 24°F | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 |
| 16°F | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 155 | 148 | 142 | 138 | 134 | 130 | 125 | 120 | 113 |
| 32°F | 177 | 170 | 164 | 159 | 155 | 152 | 147 | 141 | 134 |
| 28°F | 200 | 193 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 171 | 165 | 157 |
| 24°F | 225 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 205 | 201 | 196 | 190 | 181 |
| 20°F | 248 | 241 | 236 | 232 | 227 | 223 | 219 | 214 | 207 |
| 16°F | 269 | 262 | 256 | 251 | 246 | 242 | 238 | 234 | 228 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,967
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 433
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,352
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,290
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,365
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,575
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 922
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,289 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,124 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,003 | 0 | 7 |
| April | 611 | 2 | 51 |
| May | 290 | 23 | 232 |
| June | 80 | 81 | 453 |
| July | 18 | 157 | 604 |
| August | 28 | 126 | 563 |
| September | 155 | 41 | 342 |
| October | 479 | 3 | 100 |
| November | 791 | 0 | 12 |
| December | 1,101 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.4 km from Lindley. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00361838 (Cowanesque Dam). Public domain.