Holcomb Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Honeoye. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 10 and the first fall freeze around October 4, a growing season of about 147 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 24, first September 23
- Median at 32°F
- last May 10, first October 4
- Median at 28°F
- last April 29, first October 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 8 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 27 | May 24 | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 | May 6 |
| 32°F | May 27 | May 21 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 |
| 28°F | May 15 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 |
| 24°F | May 4 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 |
| 20°F | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 |
| 16°F | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 8 | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 |
| 32°F | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 |
| 28°F | Oct 2 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 24°F | Oct 13 | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 |
| 20°F | Oct 31 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 |
| 16°F | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 144 | 137 | 131 | 127 | 122 | 118 | 113 | 107 | 99 |
| 32°F | 168 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 134 | 127 |
| 28°F | 192 | 185 | 180 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 161 | 156 | 149 |
| 24°F | 220 | 212 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 191 | 187 | 181 | 173 |
| 20°F | 246 | 239 | 234 | 229 | 225 | 221 | 216 | 210 | 202 |
| 16°F | 269 | 261 | 255 | 251 | 247 | 243 | 239 | 234 | 225 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,793
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 478
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,482
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,394
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,446
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,638
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 974
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,258 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,099 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 989 | 0 | 11 |
| April | 602 | 3 | 65 |
| May | 279 | 34 | 254 |
| June | 82 | 92 | 462 |
| July | 26 | 161 | 600 |
| August | 35 | 131 | 561 |
| September | 159 | 51 | 350 |
| October | 457 | 6 | 115 |
| November | 744 | 0 | 24 |
| December | 1,063 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14.5 km from Holcomb. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00303955 (Honeoye). Public domain.