Gordon Heights Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Upton Coop - Nwsfo New York. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 21 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 184 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 3, first October 11
- Median at 32°F
- last April 21, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last April 7, first November 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 17 | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 |
| 32°F | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 |
| 28°F | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 |
| 24°F | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 |
| 28°F | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 |
| 24°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 22 |
| 16°F | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 21 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 179 | 173 | 168 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 153 | 148 | 142 |
| 32°F | 203 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 176 | 171 | 164 |
| 28°F | 229 | 222 | 217 | 213 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 190 |
| 24°F | 257 | 250 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 230 | 226 | 222 | 214 |
| 20°F | 284 | 275 | 270 | 265 | 260 | 254 | 249 | 245 | 237 |
| 16°F | 308 | 300 | 296 | 290 | 285 | 279 | 274 | 268 | 259 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,665
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 676
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,125
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,913
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,876
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,993
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,264
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,094 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 951 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 835 | 0 | 10 |
| April | 513 | 1 | 61 |
| May | 232 | 15 | 257 |
| June | 39 | 109 | 521 |
| July | 3 | 252 | 714 |
| August | 5 | 213 | 673 |
| September | 82 | 78 | 447 |
| October | 359 | 7 | 162 |
| November | 644 | 0 | 26 |
| December | 910 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9 km from Gordon Heights. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00308721 (Upton Coop - Nwsfo New York). Public domain.