Elizabethtown Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lake Placid 2 S. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 27 and the first fall freeze around September 22, a growing season of about 118 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 5, first September 8
- Median at 32°F
- last May 27, first September 22
- Median at 28°F
- last May 13, first October 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 29 | Jun 18 | Jun 12 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 28 | May 24 |
| 32°F | Jun 7 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 27 | May 24 | May 20 | May 17 | May 10 |
| 28°F | May 27 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 27 |
| 24°F | May 16 | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 |
| 20°F | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 |
| 16°F | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 20 | Aug 27 | Sep 1 | Sep 5 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 23 |
| 32°F | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 |
| 28°F | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 20 |
| 24°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 |
| 20°F | Oct 12 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 16°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 112 | 106 | 101 | 96 | 92 | 86 | 80 | 72 | 62 |
| 32°F | 138 | 131 | 127 | 122 | 118 | 114 | 110 | 105 | 98 |
| 28°F | 165 | 158 | 152 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 135 | 130 | 123 |
| 24°F | 189 | 183 | 177 | 172 | 169 | 164 | 159 | 153 | 146 |
| 20°F | 213 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 184 | 178 | 170 |
| 16°F | 232 | 226 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 200 | 195 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,982
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 136
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,208
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,301
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,523
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 885
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 415
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,553 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,324 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,209 | 0 | 2 |
| April | 785 | 1 | 22 |
| May | 436 | 6 | 124 |
| June | 182 | 27 | 303 |
| July | 81 | 55 | 439 |
| August | 114 | 35 | 386 |
| September | 292 | 13 | 204 |
| October | 659 | 0 | 39 |
| November | 984 | 0 | 4 |
| December | 1,362 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 32.8 km from Elizabethtown. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00304555 (Lake Placid 2 S). Public domain.