Downsville Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Downsville Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 15 and the first fall freeze around October 3, a growing season of about 140 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 27, first September 24
- Median at 32°F
- last May 15, first October 3
- Median at 28°F
- last May 3, first October 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 27 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 12 |
| 32°F | May 30 | May 26 | May 22 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 5 | Apr 30 |
| 28°F | May 19 | May 14 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 |
| 24°F | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 20°F | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 |
| 16°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 |
| 32°F | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 |
| 28°F | Sep 28 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 29 |
| 24°F | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 20°F | Oct 21 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 |
| 16°F | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 137 | 130 | 126 | 121 | 118 | 114 | 111 | 107 | 101 |
| 32°F | 159 | 152 | 147 | 143 | 140 | 136 | 131 | 127 | 119 |
| 28°F | 182 | 174 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 152 | 147 | 140 |
| 24°F | 208 | 200 | 195 | 190 | 187 | 182 | 176 | 171 | 163 |
| 20°F | 229 | 223 | 218 | 215 | 211 | 208 | 203 | 198 | 190 |
| 16°F | 251 | 245 | 239 | 235 | 232 | 228 | 225 | 221 | 215 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,169
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 344
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,160
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,117
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,216
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,441
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 805
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,323 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,142 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,029 | 0 | 7 |
| April | 627 | 1 | 39 |
| May | 307 | 12 | 207 |
| June | 82 | 63 | 434 |
| July | 16 | 132 | 581 |
| August | 34 | 100 | 532 |
| September | 164 | 35 | 325 |
| October | 503 | 1 | 83 |
| November | 809 | 0 | 7 |
| December | 1,135 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.2 km from Downsville. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00302169 (Downsville Dam). Public domain.