Clinton Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Utica Oneida CO AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 1 and the first fall freeze around October 13, a growing season of about 164 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 13, first October 1
- Median at 32°F
- last May 1, first October 13
- Median at 28°F
- last April 20, first October 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 30 | May 25 | May 20 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 |
| 32°F | May 17 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 |
| 28°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 |
| 24°F | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 |
| 20°F | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 2 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 |
| 16°F | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 16 |
| 32°F | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
| 24°F | Oct 25 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 |
| 20°F | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 |
| 16°F | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 160 | 155 | 149 | 144 | 140 | 136 | 131 | 127 | 120 |
| 32°F | 185 | 178 | 173 | 168 | 164 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 144 |
| 28°F | 207 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 174 | 166 |
| 24°F | 232 | 224 | 219 | 215 | 212 | 209 | 205 | 200 | 193 |
| 20°F | 251 | 244 | 239 | 235 | 230 | 227 | 223 | 218 | 212 |
| 16°F | 269 | 262 | 256 | 252 | 248 | 244 | 240 | 234 | 228 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,092
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 457
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,404
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,339
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,414
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,615
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 955
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,342 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,159 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,029 | 0 | 5 |
| April | 614 | 2 | 50 |
| May | 276 | 21 | 235 |
| June | 76 | 91 | 466 |
| July | 12 | 168 | 621 |
| August | 26 | 132 | 570 |
| September | 153 | 40 | 344 |
| October | 469 | 3 | 104 |
| November | 794 | 0 | 17 |
| December | 1,142 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.8 km from Clinton. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00094794 (Utica Oneida CO AP). Public domain.