Bellport Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Shirley Brookhaven AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 18 and the first fall freeze around October 28, a growing season of about 193 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 30, first October 17
- Median at 32°F
- last April 18, first October 28
- Median at 28°F
- last April 3, first November 9
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 15 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 |
| 32°F | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 |
| 28°F | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 |
| 24°F | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 |
| 20°F | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 |
| 16°F | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
| 28°F | Oct 24 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 |
| 24°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 |
| 20°F | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 |
| 16°F | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 20 | Dec 24 | Dec 29 | Jan 4 | Jan 12 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 188 | 182 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 159 | 155 | 148 |
| 32°F | 211 | 205 | 200 | 196 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 179 | 172 |
| 28°F | 239 | 231 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 209 | 204 | 197 |
| 24°F | 266 | 259 | 254 | 249 | 245 | 240 | 235 | 230 | 221 |
| 20°F | 293 | 285 | 279 | 274 | 269 | 264 | 260 | 254 | 245 |
| 16°F | 317 | 308 | 303 | 298 | 292 | 287 | 281 | 276 | 266 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,346
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 784
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,398
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,142
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,060
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,149
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,390
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,037 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 900 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 798 | 0 | 10 |
| April | 493 | 2 | 68 |
| May | 220 | 19 | 271 |
| June | 38 | 130 | 542 |
| July | 2 | 284 | 747 |
| August | 4 | 247 | 708 |
| September | 68 | 92 | 474 |
| October | 324 | 11 | 188 |
| November | 591 | 0 | 42 |
| December | 871 | 0 | 8 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.3 km from Bellport. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00054790 (Shirley Brookhaven AP). Public domain.