Thoreau Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Thoreau 12 Se. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 29 and the first fall freeze around September 26, a growing season of about 118 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 6, first September 17
- Median at 32°F
- last May 29, first September 26
- Median at 28°F
- last May 15, first October 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 21 | Jun 16 | Jun 12 | Jun 8 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 25 |
| 32°F | Jun 12 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 29 | May 24 | May 21 | May 17 | May 11 |
| 28°F | Jun 2 | May 26 | May 22 | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 28 |
| 24°F | May 20 | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 14 |
| 20°F | May 9 | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 |
| 16°F | Apr 29 | Apr 17 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 15 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 |
| 32°F | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 |
| 28°F | Sep 21 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 |
| 24°F | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 |
| 20°F | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 |
| 16°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 117 | 112 | 108 | 104 | 101 | 98 | 94 | 88 | 82 |
| 32°F | 139 | 132 | 127 | 121 | 118 | 114 | 111 | 106 | 98 |
| 28°F | 161 | 154 | 149 | 144 | 139 | 135 | 130 | 124 | 117 |
| 24°F | 184 | 177 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 157 | 153 | 147 | 140 |
| 20°F | 207 | 200 | 195 | 190 | 185 | 180 | 175 | 169 | 161 |
| 16°F | 235 | 227 | 221 | 216 | 210 | 205 | 200 | 192 | 183 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,990
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 424
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,606
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,426
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,435
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,608
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 936
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,088 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 847 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 746 | 0 | 7 |
| April | 508 | 1 | 63 |
| May | 276 | 8 | 222 |
| June | 50 | 106 | 506 |
| July | 4 | 173 | 634 |
| August | 13 | 108 | 560 |
| September | 138 | 27 | 344 |
| October | 466 | 1 | 91 |
| November | 777 | 0 | 8 |
| December | 1,076 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.4 km from Thoreau. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00298834 (Thoreau 12 Se). Public domain.