Spencerville Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Aztec Ruins Nm. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 12 and the first fall freeze around October 6, a growing season of about 147 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 27, first September 30
- Median at 32°F
- last May 12, first October 6
- Median at 28°F
- last April 30, first October 15
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 11 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 27 | May 24 | May 20 | May 17 | May 11 |
| 32°F | May 30 | May 24 | May 19 | May 15 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 |
| 28°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 |
| 24°F | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 |
| 20°F | Apr 23 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 | Mar 12 |
| 16°F | Apr 10 | Apr 1 | Mar 26 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 17 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 |
| 32°F | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
| 24°F | Oct 10 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 |
| 20°F | Oct 19 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 |
| 16°F | Oct 29 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 141 | 136 | 132 | 128 | 124 | 120 | 116 | 112 | 106 |
| 32°F | 164 | 158 | 155 | 150 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 134 | 127 |
| 28°F | 186 | 179 | 174 | 171 | 167 | 164 | 159 | 154 | 149 |
| 24°F | 210 | 203 | 197 | 194 | 190 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 169 |
| 20°F | 239 | 230 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 208 | 203 | 197 | 191 |
| 16°F | 272 | 263 | 257 | 251 | 245 | 238 | 231 | 224 | 212 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,163
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 914
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,633
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,370
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,277
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,342
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,555
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,037 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 784 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 623 | 0 | 21 |
| April | 401 | 0 | 108 |
| May | 166 | 24 | 329 |
| June | 21 | 171 | 600 |
| July | 0 | 343 | 807 |
| August | 1 | 281 | 746 |
| September | 53 | 93 | 491 |
| October | 353 | 2 | 161 |
| November | 705 | 0 | 12 |
| December | 1,020 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.4 km from Spencerville. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00290692 (Aztec Ruins Nm). Public domain.