Sierra County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Elephant Butte Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 13 and the first fall freeze around November 15, a growing season of about 243 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 30, first November 5
- Median at 32°F
- last March 13, first November 15
- Median at 28°F
- last March 1, first November 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 18 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 |
| 32°F | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 |
| 28°F | Mar 21 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 |
| 24°F | Mar 9 | Mar 1 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 12 |
| 20°F | Feb 24 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 16 | Jan 9 | Jan 3 | Dec 25 |
| 16°F | Feb 7 | Jan 27 | Jan 17 | Jan 12 | Jan 6 | Dec 31 | Dec 24 | Dec 19 | Dec 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 |
| 32°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 |
| 28°F | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 |
| 24°F | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 5 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 |
| 20°F | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 5 | Jan 12 | Jan 24 |
| 16°F | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 18 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 16 | Jan 31 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 240 | 231 | 225 | 221 | 218 | 213 | 209 | 204 | 196 |
| 32°F | 265 | 258 | 252 | 248 | 243 | 238 | 232 | 226 | 218 |
| 28°F | 296 | 286 | 280 | 275 | 269 | 264 | 259 | 252 | 244 |
| 24°F | 332 | 322 | 314 | 307 | 300 | 294 | 288 | 279 | 268 |
| 20°F | 365 | 361 | 352 | 345 | 339 | 333 | 326 | 316 | 302 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 356 | 346 | 336 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 85% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 43% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,774
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,209
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,658
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,028
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,574
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,295
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,177
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 674 | 0 | 12 |
| February | 475 | 0 | 46 |
| March | 322 | 7 | 187 |
| April | 111 | 51 | 394 |
| May | 17 | 231 | 679 |
| June | 0 | 500 | 949 |
| July | 0 | 557 | 1,022 |
| August | 0 | 494 | 959 |
| September | 5 | 298 | 743 |
| October | 97 | 70 | 444 |
| November | 392 | 2 | 125 |
| December | 682 | 0 | 15 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.8 km from Sierra County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00292848 (Elephant Butte Dam). Public domain.