Reserve Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Reserve RS. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 30 and the first fall freeze around October 3, a growing season of about 127 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 10, first September 26
- Median at 32°F
- last May 30, first October 3
- Median at 28°F
- last May 13, first October 12
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 25 | Jun 20 | Jun 16 | Jun 13 | Jun 10 | Jun 7 | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 28 |
| 32°F | Jun 12 | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 26 | May 23 | May 18 | May 14 |
| 28°F | Jun 2 | May 25 | May 20 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 29 |
| 24°F | May 13 | May 9 | May 5 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 |
| 20°F | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 1 |
| 16°F | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 11 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 |
| 32°F | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 |
| 24°F | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 20°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 |
| 16°F | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 124 | 118 | 113 | 110 | 107 | 102 | 97 | 92 | 86 |
| 32°F | 147 | 140 | 135 | 131 | 127 | 123 | 119 | 114 | 107 |
| 28°F | 170 | 163 | 158 | 153 | 150 | 146 | 142 | 137 | 130 |
| 24°F | 193 | 186 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 154 |
| 20°F | 217 | 211 | 205 | 201 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 182 | 176 |
| 16°F | 251 | 243 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 216 | 210 | 200 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,694
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 605
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,394
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,023
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,877
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,934
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,182
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 865 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 700 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 598 | 0 | 22 |
| April | 407 | 0 | 91 |
| May | 219 | 13 | 266 |
| June | 42 | 113 | 521 |
| July | 2 | 237 | 701 |
| August | 4 | 178 | 639 |
| September | 65 | 61 | 447 |
| October | 325 | 2 | 166 |
| November | 602 | 0 | 23 |
| December | 866 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.8 km from Reserve. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00297386 (Reserve RS). Public domain.