Moriarty Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Moriarty 1 Ne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 14 and the first fall freeze around October 4, a growing season of about 142 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 28, first September 26
- Median at 32°F
- last May 14, first October 4
- Median at 28°F
- last May 3, first October 14
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 11 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 28 | May 25 | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 |
| 32°F | Jun 2 | May 26 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 |
| 28°F | May 21 | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 |
| 24°F | May 11 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 20°F | Apr 30 | Apr 22 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 24 |
| 16°F | Apr 13 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 13 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 |
| 32°F | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 |
| 28°F | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 |
| 24°F | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 |
| 20°F | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 |
| 16°F | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 137 | 131 | 127 | 123 | 120 | 116 | 113 | 108 | 101 |
| 32°F | 160 | 153 | 149 | 146 | 142 | 138 | 133 | 127 | 121 |
| 28°F | 180 | 174 | 169 | 166 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 149 | 142 |
| 24°F | 200 | 194 | 189 | 185 | 182 | 177 | 173 | 168 | 160 |
| 20°F | 226 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 196 | 189 | 181 |
| 16°F | 254 | 245 | 240 | 235 | 230 | 226 | 220 | 215 | 206 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,892
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 414
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,651
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,480
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,480
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,641
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 947
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,082 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 851 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 735 | 0 | 8 |
| April | 503 | 0 | 55 |
| May | 250 | 11 | 246 |
| June | 35 | 93 | 508 |
| July | 4 | 177 | 638 |
| August | 12 | 114 | 567 |
| September | 118 | 19 | 353 |
| October | 440 | 0 | 101 |
| November | 788 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,076 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.6 km from Moriarty. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00295908 (Moriarty 1 Ne). Public domain.