High Rolls Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mtn Park. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 21, a growing season of about 173 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 11, first October 12
- Median at 32°F
- last April 30, first October 21
- Median at 28°F
- last April 20, first October 30
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 30 | May 22 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 |
| 32°F | May 15 | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 |
| 28°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 |
| 24°F | Apr 22 | Apr 16 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 | Mar 8 |
| 20°F | Apr 4 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 | Feb 11 |
| 16°F | Mar 15 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 | Jan 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 |
| 32°F | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 |
| 28°F | Oct 14 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
| 24°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 |
| 20°F | Nov 2 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | Nov 14 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 30 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 172 | 166 | 161 | 157 | 154 | 151 | 146 | 142 | 130 |
| 32°F | 193 | 186 | 180 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 164 | 160 | 154 |
| 28°F | 219 | 210 | 204 | 198 | 193 | 189 | 184 | 178 | 171 |
| 24°F | 252 | 241 | 234 | 227 | 222 | 216 | 209 | 203 | 194 |
| 20°F | 286 | 275 | 267 | 261 | 255 | 248 | 241 | 234 | 224 |
| 16°F | 327 | 315 | 306 | 298 | 291 | 284 | 277 | 268 | 256 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,755
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 373
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,160
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,801
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,657
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,702
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 935
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 870 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 701 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 603 | 0 | 30 |
| April | 404 | 0 | 105 |
| May | 196 | 19 | 297 |
| June | 20 | 113 | 543 |
| July | 10 | 128 | 583 |
| August | 17 | 85 | 533 |
| September | 96 | 27 | 382 |
| October | 346 | 1 | 156 |
| November | 624 | 0 | 25 |
| December | 868 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.2 km from High Rolls. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00295960 (Mtn Park). Public domain.