Hatch Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Caballo Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 25 and the first fall freeze around November 6, a growing season of about 224 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 14, first October 28
- Median at 32°F
- last March 25, first November 6
- Median at 28°F
- last March 7, first November 18
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 25 |
| 32°F | Apr 17 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 |
| 28°F | Mar 28 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 |
| 24°F | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 20 | Feb 16 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 27 |
| 20°F | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Dec 28 |
| 16°F | Feb 13 | Feb 2 | Jan 24 | Jan 14 | Jan 7 | Dec 31 | Dec 27 | Dec 21 | Dec 13 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
| 32°F | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 |
| 28°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 |
| 20°F | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 16 | Dec 21 | Dec 26 | Jan 3 |
| 16°F | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 11 | Jan 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 218 | 211 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 187 | 182 | 175 |
| 32°F | 248 | 240 | 234 | 228 | 224 | 219 | 213 | 208 | 199 |
| 28°F | 277 | 269 | 263 | 258 | 253 | 248 | 243 | 237 | 226 |
| 24°F | 311 | 301 | 294 | 288 | 282 | 277 | 272 | 266 | 256 |
| 20°F | 351 | 340 | 333 | 326 | 318 | 311 | 303 | 295 | 286 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 355 | 347 | 341 | 334 | 322 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 71% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,732
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,115
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,591
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,944
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,472
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,186
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,066
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 660 | 0 | 11 |
| February | 470 | 0 | 49 |
| March | 307 | 3 | 189 |
| April | 122 | 37 | 368 |
| May | 21 | 202 | 647 |
| June | 0 | 462 | 912 |
| July | 0 | 566 | 1,031 |
| August | 0 | 499 | 964 |
| September | 5 | 287 | 732 |
| October | 97 | 57 | 430 |
| November | 383 | 2 | 126 |
| December | 666 | 0 | 15 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 29.5 km from Hatch. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00291286 (Caballo Dam). Public domain.