Deming Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Deming. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 7 and the first fall freeze around November 3, a growing season of about 208 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 23, first October 25
- Median at 32°F
- last April 7, first November 3
- Median at 28°F
- last March 16, first November 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 7 |
| 32°F | Apr 25 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 |
| 28°F | Apr 9 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
| 24°F | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 20 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 |
| 20°F | Mar 1 | Feb 22 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 7 |
| 16°F | Feb 8 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 16 | Jan 12 | Jan 6 | Jan 1 | Dec 26 | Dec 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 32°F | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 |
| 28°F | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 |
| 24°F | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 |
| 20°F | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 6 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 28 |
| 16°F | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 21 | Dec 26 | Dec 30 | Jan 7 | Jan 16 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 202 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 184 | 180 | 176 | 172 | 165 |
| 32°F | 230 | 222 | 217 | 213 | 208 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 186 |
| 28°F | 261 | 253 | 246 | 242 | 237 | 232 | 227 | 221 | 211 |
| 24°F | 295 | 284 | 277 | 272 | 268 | 263 | 258 | 251 | 242 |
| 20°F | 335 | 325 | 316 | 308 | 303 | 296 | 291 | 282 | 272 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 357 | 351 | 343 | 336 | 331 | 324 | 311 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 81% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,912
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,802
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,097
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,468
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,029
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,789
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,714
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 680 | 0 | 7 |
| February | 490 | 0 | 32 |
| March | 342 | 1 | 152 |
| April | 139 | 25 | 339 |
| May | 24 | 153 | 594 |
| June | 1 | 398 | 847 |
| July | 0 | 494 | 959 |
| August | 0 | 432 | 897 |
| September | 3 | 257 | 703 |
| October | 111 | 41 | 399 |
| November | 431 | 1 | 91 |
| December | 691 | 0 | 8 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.9 km from Deming. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00292436 (Deming). Public domain.