Cuba Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Cuba. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 30 and the first fall freeze around September 28, a growing season of about 119 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 12, first September 21
- Median at 32°F
- last May 30, first September 28
- Median at 28°F
- last May 17, first October 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 27 | Jun 22 | Jun 18 | Jun 15 | Jun 12 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 30 |
| 32°F | Jun 16 | Jun 9 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 16 |
| 28°F | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 24 | May 20 | May 17 | May 13 | May 9 | May 5 | Apr 30 |
| 24°F | May 17 | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 19 | Apr 13 |
| 20°F | May 3 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 25 |
| 16°F | Apr 18 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 |
| 32°F | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 9 |
| 28°F | Sep 22 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 |
| 24°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Nov 1 |
| 20°F | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 16°F | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 117 | 111 | 107 | 104 | 100 | 96 | 92 | 87 | 80 |
| 32°F | 137 | 132 | 127 | 123 | 119 | 115 | 111 | 106 | 101 |
| 28°F | 161 | 154 | 149 | 144 | 141 | 136 | 132 | 127 | 121 |
| 24°F | 189 | 180 | 175 | 170 | 165 | 160 | 156 | 151 | 145 |
| 20°F | 218 | 209 | 202 | 197 | 192 | 187 | 182 | 177 | 168 |
| 16°F | 253 | 242 | 233 | 228 | 221 | 216 | 209 | 202 | 190 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,281
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 372
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,312
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,184
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,240
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,467
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 846
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,133 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 890 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 766 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 548 | 0 | 31 |
| May | 320 | 3 | 171 |
| June | 74 | 65 | 441 |
| July | 5 | 166 | 626 |
| August | 12 | 114 | 567 |
| September | 141 | 24 | 336 |
| October | 496 | 0 | 64 |
| November | 801 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,096 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.2 km from Cuba. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00292241 (Cuba). Public domain.