Cimarron Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Cimarron 4 Sw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 11 and the first fall freeze around October 3, a growing season of about 143 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 24, first September 26
- Median at 32°F
- last May 11, first October 3
- Median at 28°F
- last May 1, first October 12
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 27 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 14 | May 10 |
| 32°F | May 25 | May 20 | May 16 | May 13 | May 11 | May 8 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 |
| 28°F | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 |
| 24°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
| 20°F | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 |
| 16°F | Apr 17 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 |
| 32°F | Sep 21 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 |
| 28°F | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 |
| 24°F | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 |
| 20°F | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 16°F | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 141 | 135 | 131 | 128 | 124 | 121 | 117 | 112 | 106 |
| 32°F | 160 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 143 | 140 | 137 | 132 | 125 |
| 28°F | 180 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 163 | 160 | 156 | 151 | 144 |
| 24°F | 200 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 168 | 162 |
| 20°F | 223 | 215 | 210 | 205 | 201 | 196 | 192 | 187 | 180 |
| 16°F | 247 | 239 | 233 | 227 | 223 | 218 | 212 | 205 | 197 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,708
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 287
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,583
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,358
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,317
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,459
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 777
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 997 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 841 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 713 | 0 | 16 |
| April | 498 | 0 | 61 |
| May | 264 | 8 | 228 |
| June | 51 | 67 | 467 |
| July | 10 | 120 | 575 |
| August | 22 | 77 | 519 |
| September | 136 | 15 | 331 |
| October | 427 | 0 | 107 |
| November | 741 | 0 | 11 |
| December | 1,007 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.7 km from Cimarron. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00291813 (Cimarron 4 Sw). Public domain.