Carrizozo Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Carrizozo 1SW. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 27 and the first fall freeze around October 20, a growing season of about 175 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 5, first October 11
- Median at 32°F
- last April 27, first October 20
- Median at 28°F
- last April 14, first October 30
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 18 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 |
| 32°F | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 11 |
| 28°F | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 29 |
| 24°F | Apr 19 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 9 |
| 20°F | Apr 8 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 |
| 16°F | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 29 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 |
| 32°F | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 2 |
| 28°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 |
| 24°F | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 |
| 20°F | Oct 30 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 |
| 16°F | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 15 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 175 | 168 | 164 | 160 | 157 | 154 | 150 | 146 | 139 |
| 32°F | 194 | 188 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 172 | 168 | 162 | 157 |
| 28°F | 217 | 211 | 205 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 176 |
| 24°F | 243 | 236 | 229 | 224 | 218 | 213 | 209 | 202 | 195 |
| 20°F | 270 | 261 | 255 | 249 | 244 | 239 | 233 | 227 | 218 |
| 16°F | 306 | 294 | 287 | 279 | 273 | 267 | 261 | 253 | 243 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,181
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,000
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,323
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,914
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,692
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,641
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,740
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 860 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 645 | 0 | 8 |
| March | 518 | 0 | 59 |
| April | 279 | 4 | 199 |
| May | 80 | 64 | 450 |
| June | 2 | 250 | 697 |
| July | 0 | 310 | 775 |
| August | 2 | 255 | 718 |
| September | 30 | 111 | 531 |
| October | 266 | 7 | 229 |
| November | 623 | 0 | 24 |
| December | 877 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.2 km from Carrizozo. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00291515 (Carrizozo 1SW). Public domain.