Ramtown Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Toms River. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 23 and the first fall freeze around October 20, a growing season of about 179 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 4, first October 8
- Median at 32°F
- last April 23, first October 20
- Median at 28°F
- last April 8, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 22 | May 17 | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 |
| 32°F | May 12 | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 28°F | Apr 28 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 |
| 24°F | Apr 10 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 |
| 16°F | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 |
| 32°F | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Dec 2 |
| 20°F | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 16 |
| 16°F | Nov 19 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 6 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 175 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 148 | 143 | 136 |
| 32°F | 198 | 192 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 165 | 157 |
| 28°F | 224 | 217 | 213 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 183 |
| 24°F | 249 | 242 | 237 | 233 | 229 | 226 | 222 | 218 | 212 |
| 20°F | 277 | 270 | 264 | 258 | 253 | 248 | 244 | 238 | 231 |
| 16°F | 304 | 297 | 290 | 285 | 280 | 275 | 268 | 261 | 253 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,328
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 861
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,507
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,258
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,176
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,249
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,480
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,034 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 890 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 786 | 1 | 17 |
| April | 457 | 8 | 103 |
| May | 196 | 44 | 319 |
| June | 41 | 157 | 567 |
| July | 1 | 306 | 770 |
| August | 3 | 250 | 711 |
| September | 75 | 87 | 462 |
| October | 343 | 8 | 170 |
| November | 626 | 0 | 40 |
| December | 877 | 0 | 10 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20 km from Ramtown. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00288816 (Toms River). Public domain.