Pennington Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Trenton Mercer CO AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 10 and the first fall freeze around November 1, a growing season of about 202 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 25, first October 20
- Median at 32°F
- last April 10, first November 1
- Median at 28°F
- last March 31, first November 12
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 |
| 32°F | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 28°F | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 |
| 24°F | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
| 20°F | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 15 |
| 16°F | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 |
| 32°F | Oct 15 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 28°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 |
| 24°F | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 |
| 20°F | Nov 17 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 |
| 16°F | Dec 2 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 | Dec 25 | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 9 | Jan 16 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 197 | 191 | 186 | 181 | 176 | 173 | 168 | 163 | 156 |
| 32°F | 223 | 215 | 210 | 205 | 202 | 199 | 194 | 188 | 180 |
| 28°F | 250 | 241 | 236 | 230 | 226 | 222 | 218 | 213 | 205 |
| 24°F | 274 | 266 | 260 | 256 | 251 | 246 | 242 | 236 | 229 |
| 20°F | 302 | 293 | 287 | 281 | 277 | 271 | 266 | 260 | 253 |
| 16°F | 328 | 321 | 314 | 308 | 303 | 299 | 293 | 286 | 277 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,977
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,050
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,979
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,687
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,551
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,569
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,734
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,023 | 0 | 3 |
| February | 858 | 0 | 6 |
| March | 722 | 1 | 33 |
| April | 387 | 12 | 144 |
| May | 148 | 55 | 375 |
| June | 20 | 199 | 628 |
| July | 0 | 351 | 815 |
| August | 2 | 294 | 756 |
| September | 51 | 123 | 522 |
| October | 304 | 16 | 210 |
| November | 588 | 0 | 46 |
| December | 873 | 0 | 12 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.1 km from Pennington. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00014792 (Trenton Mercer CO AP). Public domain.