Newton Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Andover Aeroflex AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 25 and the first fall freeze around October 19, a growing season of about 175 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 7, first October 6
- Median at 32°F
- last April 25, first October 19
- Median at 28°F
- last April 11, first October 31
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 |
| 32°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 |
| 28°F | Apr 28 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 |
| 24°F | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 |
| 20°F | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 |
| 16°F | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 22 |
| 32°F | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 28°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 |
| 24°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 |
| 20°F | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 |
| 16°F | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 172 | 166 | 161 | 157 | 152 | 148 | 144 | 138 | 132 |
| 32°F | 198 | 189 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 153 |
| 28°F | 222 | 215 | 211 | 206 | 202 | 198 | 193 | 187 | 178 |
| 24°F | 248 | 240 | 235 | 231 | 227 | 223 | 219 | 213 | 207 |
| 20°F | 273 | 266 | 260 | 256 | 252 | 248 | 243 | 237 | 230 |
| 16°F | 297 | 288 | 283 | 278 | 274 | 270 | 265 | 260 | 252 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,927
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 669
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,080
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,904
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,877
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,992
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,252
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,165 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 997 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 842 | 0 | 15 |
| April | 470 | 5 | 97 |
| May | 205 | 34 | 303 |
| June | 38 | 130 | 543 |
| July | 4 | 243 | 704 |
| August | 11 | 191 | 645 |
| September | 108 | 60 | 404 |
| October | 400 | 6 | 138 |
| November | 690 | 0 | 23 |
| December | 998 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.6 km from Newton. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00054779 (Andover Aeroflex AP). Public domain.