Jackson Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Indian Mills 2 W. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 28 and the first fall freeze around October 15, a growing season of about 169 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 10, first October 5
- Median at 32°F
- last April 28, first October 15
- Median at 28°F
- last April 15, first October 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 26 | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 16 | May 9 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 |
| 24°F | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 |
| 20°F | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 |
| 32°F | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 |
| 28°F | Oct 10 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 |
| 24°F | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 20°F | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | Nov 14 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 168 | 161 | 156 | 151 | 147 | 144 | 140 | 135 | 129 |
| 32°F | 191 | 184 | 179 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 149 |
| 28°F | 216 | 209 | 204 | 199 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 181 | 174 |
| 24°F | 244 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 216 | 212 | 207 | 201 |
| 20°F | 273 | 264 | 256 | 251 | 245 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 224 |
| 16°F | 304 | 295 | 287 | 281 | 274 | 269 | 263 | 257 | 249 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,940
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 989
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,942
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,645
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,501
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,515
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,676
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,000 | 0 | 7 |
| February | 848 | 0 | 7 |
| March | 717 | 1 | 34 |
| April | 382 | 13 | 151 |
| May | 150 | 60 | 379 |
| June | 23 | 186 | 614 |
| July | 0 | 328 | 792 |
| August | 3 | 269 | 732 |
| September | 60 | 116 | 506 |
| October | 305 | 16 | 212 |
| November | 592 | 1 | 55 |
| December | 862 | 0 | 13 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.4 km from Jackson. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00284229 (Indian Mills 2 W). Public domain.