Strafford Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Rochester Skyhaven AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 9, a growing season of about 161 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 12, first September 30
- Median at 32°F
- last April 30, first October 9
- Median at 28°F
- last April 17, first October 23
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 25 | May 20 | May 18 | May 14 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | May 1 |
| 32°F | May 13 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 |
| 28°F | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 |
| 24°F | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 |
| 20°F | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 |
| 16°F | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 12 |
| 32°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 25 |
| 28°F | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 |
| 24°F | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
| 20°F | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 |
| 16°F | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 155 | 149 | 145 | 141 | 138 | 134 | 131 | 126 | 120 |
| 32°F | 181 | 175 | 170 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 148 | 142 |
| 28°F | 208 | 202 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 168 |
| 24°F | 233 | 226 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 200 | 194 |
| 20°F | 256 | 250 | 245 | 241 | 237 | 233 | 228 | 222 | 216 |
| 16°F | 275 | 269 | 264 | 260 | 256 | 253 | 249 | 245 | 239 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,790
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 506
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,453
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,372
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,438
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,651
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,001
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,271 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,086 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 958 | 0 | 7 |
| April | 582 | 3 | 54 |
| May | 294 | 18 | 213 |
| June | 74 | 92 | 469 |
| July | 12 | 190 | 643 |
| August | 21 | 152 | 597 |
| September | 155 | 48 | 348 |
| October | 472 | 3 | 94 |
| November | 770 | 0 | 13 |
| December | 1,096 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 21.9 km from Strafford. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00054791 (Rochester Skyhaven AP). Public domain.