Madison Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Tamworth 4. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 16 and the first fall freeze around September 26, a growing season of about 129 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 29, first September 14
- Median at 32°F
- last May 16, first September 26
- Median at 28°F
- last May 4, first October 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 11 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 15 |
| 32°F | May 30 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 16 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 |
| 28°F | May 19 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 |
| 24°F | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 |
| 20°F | Apr 22 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 |
| 16°F | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 1 | Sep 5 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 |
| 32°F | Sep 10 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 |
| 28°F | Sep 21 | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 20 |
| 24°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 |
| 20°F | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 |
| 16°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 125 | 119 | 114 | 110 | 106 | 103 | 100 | 96 | 91 |
| 32°F | 148 | 141 | 137 | 132 | 129 | 125 | 122 | 117 | 110 |
| 28°F | 170 | 164 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 144 | 138 | 131 |
| 24°F | 201 | 193 | 188 | 183 | 178 | 174 | 169 | 164 | 157 |
| 20°F | 226 | 220 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 193 | 184 |
| 16°F | 248 | 241 | 237 | 233 | 229 | 226 | 222 | 217 | 211 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,211
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 214
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,505
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,567
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,758
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,085
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 556
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,444 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,256 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,125 | 0 | 2 |
| April | 721 | 1 | 24 |
| May | 381 | 7 | 146 |
| June | 143 | 39 | 350 |
| July | 43 | 90 | 511 |
| August | 70 | 61 | 456 |
| September | 261 | 15 | 227 |
| October | 614 | 0 | 40 |
| November | 905 | 0 | 4 |
| December | 1,248 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.2 km from Madison. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00278614 (Tamworth 4). Public domain.