Jackson Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for N Conway. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 7 and the first fall freeze around October 5, a growing season of about 150 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 18, first September 26
- Median at 32°F
- last May 7, first October 5
- Median at 28°F
- last April 26, first October 17
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 31 | May 27 | May 23 | May 20 | May 18 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 6 |
| 32°F | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 |
| 28°F | May 9 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 |
| 24°F | Apr 26 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 |
| 20°F | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 |
| 16°F | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 13 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 |
| 32°F | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 4 |
| 24°F | Oct 13 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 |
| 20°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
| 16°F | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 146 | 141 | 137 | 133 | 130 | 127 | 123 | 119 | 113 |
| 32°F | 168 | 161 | 156 | 153 | 150 | 146 | 143 | 138 | 132 |
| 28°F | 195 | 187 | 183 | 178 | 174 | 168 | 164 | 160 | 154 |
| 24°F | 219 | 213 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 186 | 179 |
| 20°F | 244 | 238 | 233 | 229 | 225 | 222 | 217 | 212 | 205 |
| 16°F | 265 | 258 | 253 | 250 | 246 | 242 | 238 | 233 | 227 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,507
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 411
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,095
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,091
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,221
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,476
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 866
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,397 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,197 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,053 | 0 | 3 |
| April | 655 | 1 | 33 |
| May | 312 | 15 | 201 |
| June | 90 | 79 | 441 |
| July | 16 | 162 | 611 |
| August | 28 | 118 | 555 |
| September | 184 | 34 | 309 |
| October | 539 | 1 | 63 |
| November | 848 | 0 | 7 |
| December | 1,189 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.6 km from Jackson. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00275995 (N Conway). Public domain.